Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-02-01 7.343610 8.585747 9.947540 11.547760 13.372919 15.385914 17.770218
2026-02-08 5.013900 6.616082 8.562575 11.084452 14.246416 18.059278 22.982246
2026-02-15 3.694386 5.378468 7.599965 10.707245 14.896863 20.299631 27.734207
2026-02-22 3.051164 4.818667 7.312694 11.022952 16.321654 23.521337 33.925435
2026-03-01 2.595692 4.405005 7.113041 11.361652 17.733321 26.779464 40.394113
2026-03-08 2.090620 3.805848 6.523644 11.009539 18.054493 28.474299 44.755910
2026-03-15 1.720484 3.345356 6.060188 10.755130 18.443730 30.241639 49.303420
2026-03-22 1.565248 3.219171 6.109126 11.305538 20.115319 34.047534 57.178458
2026-03-29 1.406321 3.054657 6.062188 11.675446 21.509680 37.509538 64.757251
2026-04-05 1.223849 2.810169 5.833765 11.691414 22.293479 40.030829 70.997786
2026-04-12 1.053528 2.556974 5.549273 11.562279 22.795726 42.102741 76.623822
2026-04-19 0.892596 2.291775 5.200531 11.262954 22.949220 43.573279 81.318261
2026-04-26 0.747344 2.042582 4.867581 10.994587 23.212338 45.395716 87.015882
2026-05-03 0.607944 1.777576 4.462956 10.537876 23.089916 46.564016 91.751948
2026-05-10 0.500008 1.562802 4.128582 10.174771 23.100624 47.963668 97.002670
2026-05-17 0.451236 1.490585 4.105561 10.475995 24.475205 52.017574 107.404582
2026-05-24 0.409717 1.428138 4.094462 10.799633 25.924291 56.320943 118.570010
2026-05-31 0.341158 1.268610 3.814822 10.463057 25.925973 57.783338 124.415605
2026-06-07 0.287801 1.139987 3.589545 10.219919 26.097221 59.584145 131.027867
2026-06-14 0.271581 1.127521 3.672707 10.745970 28.046503 65.158953 145.476554
2026-06-21 0.250392 1.092528 3.687377 11.099581 29.631550 70.086732 158.932895
2026-06-28 0.220739 1.018790 3.577865 11.114847 30.421769 73.387072 169.275498
2026-07-05 0.191114 0.935738 3.424870 10.991394 30.863364 75.963743 178.277810